Alibek Kachmazov vs Rio Noguchi Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

In assessing the upcoming tennis match, recent performance indicators reveal notable insights. Over the last 12 months, Kachmazov has competed against opponents with an average rank of 264.97, while Noguchi has faced those ranked at an average of 365.17. This significant difference in opponent quality could influence the match's outcome, favoring Kachmazov.

Examining second serve performance, both players have closely matched stats in recent form, with Kachmazov winning 43.57% of points on their second serve, compared to Noguchi's 44.69%. In terms of return game stats, Noguchi has a slight edge, having won 47.19% of their opponent's second serve points, while Kachmazov managed 46.48%. Similarly, Noguchi leads in first serve returns with a success rate of 27.02%, compared to Kachmazov's 24.38%.

Kachmazov's capability under pressure is highlighted by their ability to save 52.91% of breakpoints in recent form, slightly surpassing Noguchi's 50.64%. However, in terms of break point conversion, Noguchi outperforms with 32.59% compared to Kachmazov's 27.42%, making them a formidable opponent when given the opportunity to break serve.

Surface performance statistics further differentiate these competitors. Kachmazov excels on indoor hard courts, boasting a 67% win rate, whereas Noguchi shows their best results on grass with a 64% win percentage. However, indoor hard courts are Noguchi's least successful surface, with a 41% win rate, potentially tipping the scales in Kachmazov’s favor if the match is played on this surface.

In match performance over the past year, Kachmazov has secured 53.13% of matches played, while Noguchi has emerged victorious in 57.97% of their encounters, highlighting Noguchi's overall consistent play. When tension peaks in deciding sets, Noguchi demonstrates superior tenacity, having claimed victory in 79% of these situations over the last year, compared to Kachmazov's 50% success rate.

Both players have predominantly participated in Challengers/ITF tournaments over the last year where Kachmazov saw a win rate of 51.02%, versus Noguchi’s 55.36%. Given these statistics, Noguchi overall displays a slight advantage in match fitness and adaptability to various play conditions.

Considering the combination of these factors, Noguchi appears to have an edge in this matchup, with their slightly superior recent performance, higher breakpoint conversion rate, and proficiency in high-pressure situations suggesting they are favored to win.